Tracking the Tropics: Above Normal ‘22 Hurricane Season Predicted

Hurricane season runs each year from June 1^st until November 30^th. The big question is what can we expect for 2022? According to the Department of Atmospheric Science, Colorado State University (CSU) has offered its insight into the 2022 Hurricane Season. CSU noted that they “anticipate that the 2022 Atlantic basin hurricane season will have above-normal activity.”

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The rationale for this above-normal hurricane season, CSU comments that the “current weak La Niña conditions look fairly likely to transition to neutral ENSO by this summer/fall, but the odds of a significant El Niño seem unlikely. Sea surface temperatures averaged across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic are currently near average, while the Caribbean and subtropical Atlantic sea surface temperatures are warmer than normal.”

Colorado State University Hurricane Forecast for 2022

Named Storms (NS) (14.4) 19

Named Storm Days (NSD) (69.4) 90

Hurricanes (H) (7.2) 9

Hurricane Days (HD) (27.0) 35

Major Hurricanes (MH) (3.2) 4

Major Hurricane Days (MHD) (7.4) 9

Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE) (123) 160

Net Tropical Cyclone Activity (NTC) (135%) 170

Even though our Townsquare Media coverage is far inland at times hurricanes that impact the coast do affect our area. We will keep watch this hurricane season because the CSU anticipates “an above-average probability for major hurricanes making landfall along the continental United States coastline and in the Caribbean.”

(Source) Click here for the full report from the Department of Atmospheric Science at Colorado State University.